If you are considering buying a house or an investment property in the Tampa real estate market, you’ll find all the housing statistics on this page to help you make a sound decision. Tampa is gaining popularity owing to its hot housing market where several investors have been putting in their stakes. The rental market is very strong in Tampa Bay. It is one of the top locations for buying rental property in Florida. There are several economic and development prospects attached to this market and Tampa, FL is of the hottest real estate markets in the U.S. in 2020.
The Tampa housing market is growing steadily, prices are still low and properties have a good chance for a strong appreciation in the coming years. There is less than 2-month of the available inventory in the entire Tampa metro area – down almost 21.4% over last year. This is one of the key factors in rising home prices. The benchmark for a balanced market (favoring neither buyer nor seller) is 5.5 months of inventory. Anything lower than 5.5 months of inventory is traditionally a sellers' real estate market.
How was the 2019 year-end for the Tampa metro housing market? Tampa was one of three cities leading the gain in the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, which is considered the “gold standard” for tracking appreciation. Nationally, home prices rose by 3.5% in November 2019. Tampa came third with a gain of 5%. The median sales price for single-family homes in the Tampa MSA ended at $250,000 (in December), a year-over-year rise of 6.4%. The dollar volume of all the sales in December was $1.3 Billion, a year-over-year rise of 31%. Active inventory decreased by about 15%. Months Supply of Inventory equated to 2.3, a decrease of 20.7% from a year ago.
The latest Tampa housing market report is given below.
Let’s talk a bit about Tampa before we discuss what lies ahead for investors and homebuyers. Tampa is a minimally walkable city in Hillsborough County with a population of approximately 335,749 people. With a population of more than 4 million, the Greater Tampa Bay area includes the Tampa and Sarasota metro areas. It is not only an attractive metropolitan area but is also one of the most frequently visited tourist destinations. One of the goals of investing in real estate is to get a positive return on the investment when the investor decides to sell the property in the future.
If the appreciation rate is high enough, the extra value of the house in a few years will offset the upfront costs of buying. If the appreciation rate is too low then it won’t. The home prices are expected to flatten nationwide, increasing by just 0.8%, according to Realtor.com. Tampa properties have a track record of being one of the best long term real estate investments in the U.S. owing to the growth in employment opportunities. This has led to a persistent imbalance between demand and supply. There is a continuing housing shortage leading to a surge in home prices in this region.
The real estate appreciation rate in Tampa in the latest quarter was around 1.57%, which equates to an annual appreciation rate of roughly 6% to 7%. However, even small changes in the appreciation rate can change the long-term value of buying considerably. For sellers, a nice profit is on the horizon. The entire Tampa Bay region ranks among housing markets least vulnerable to coronavirus.
While both buyers and sellers are holding off because of health risks or economic uncertainty, there isn’t any impact on the sales price. While sales see a sharp decline, the prices remain steady. Sellers aren't in any rush to move the property at a lower price point than the initial asking price. More details on the latest Covid-19 impact are given below.
In this article, we shall discuss some more important reasons why you may still want to consider buying Tampa investment properties in 2020. You will get a fair amount of knowledge of the fundamentals of this hot real estate market. Please note that many variables can potentially impact the value of a home in Tampa (or any other market) and some of these variables are impossible to predict in advance. Let’s take a deep look at the latest Tampa housing market trends to know what lies ahead.
Tampa Housing Market Trends & Statistics 2020
We shall now discuss some of the most recent housing trends in the Tampa area and compare it with the past couple of years. We shall mainly discuss median home prices, inventory, economy, growth, and neighborhoods, which will help you understand the way the local real estate market moves in this region. The residential real estate market in Tampa continues to churn unimpeded even in the times of COVID-19.
Tampa Real Estate is one of the most affordable in the state. It is one of the hottest real estate markets for rental homes in the nation. There’s a tremendous amount of pent-up demand for entry-level single-family homes. In the past ten years, the annual real estate appreciation rate has amounted to 5.44%, according to NeighborhoodScout.com. This puts Tampa in the top 10% nationally for real estate appreciation.
Due to the low month's supply of inventory, Tampa is the hot seller’s real estate market – which means that the demand from buyers is exceeding the current supply of homes for sale. The pricing of homes is trending higher and is more attractive for sellers in the current phase. The shortage of supply and an increase in the demand for housing is pushing the prices higher in the Tampa housing market.
The following analysis of the Tampa housing market (includes Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater Metro) has been prepared by the Greater Tampa REALTORS®. The report compares key housing metrics of the “Tampa MSA” from April 2020 with April 2019. Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) reports show housing market statistics that focus on the Tampa Bay Region with a relatively high population density at its core and close economic ties throughout the area.
March was the beginning to mark the slowdown in real estate sales. Compared to April 2019, every week of last month saw significantly fewer single-family & condo sales — a time usually among the busiest of the year to buy and sell homes.
|Tampa MSA Single Family Homes||Apr-2020||Apr-2019||% Change|
|Median Sale Price||$260,000||$237,000||9.70%|
|Median % of Original List Price Received||98.10%||97.00%||1.10%|
|Median Time to Contract||20 Days||33 Days||-39.40%|
|Inventory (Active Listings)||9,134||11,201||-18.50%|
|Months Supply of Inventory||2.2||2.8||-21.40%|
|Tampa MSA Townhouses/Condos||Apr-2020||Apr-2019||% Change|
|Median Sale Price||$187,000||$163,000||14.70%|
|Median % of Original List Price Received||96.80%||95.80%||1.00%|
|Median Time to Contract||25 Days||35 Days||-28.60%|
|Inventory (Active Listings)||4,018||4,475||-10.20%|
|Months Supply of Inventory||2.8||3.2||-12.50%|
Data Courtesy of Greater Tampa REALTORS®
On Movoto.com, Tampa city's current home resale inventory number is 2178, which has decreased by 18 percent from a year ago. Compared to last month (April) the inventory has decreased by 8%. The median list price per square foot in Tampa is $182. April 2020 was $177. Distressed properties such as foreclosures and short sales remained the same as a percentage of the total market in May.
|Tampa Housing Market Statistics||Current||1 Month Ago||1 Year Ago|
|Median List Price||$339,994||$315,000+7%||$339,500|
|Median Days on Movoto||78||69+13%||57+36%|
|Median Home Size||1,792||1,722+4%||1,891-5%|
Data Courtesy of Movoto.com
It’s too early to tell how much effect the coronavirus fallout will have on Tampa or different housing markets around the country. In conclusion, we can say that these numbers can be positive or negative depending on which side of the fence you are — Buyer or Seller? It is quite evident that the ongoing pandemic has not had any major impact on Tampa's housing market. April home sales saw a sharp decline, while prices held steady. It is still a strong seller's market. The recent historically low mortgage interest rates are helping buyers as far as housing affordability is concerned.
The combination of low inventory and low-interest rates are helping sellers to move their properties quickly. A recent report from ATTOM Data Solutions, a property data company based in California, found that the housing market in most of the counties making up Tampa Bay is among the least vulnerable to the effects of coronavirus. The two exceptions were Hernando and Polk counties, which fall within the top 60 most vulnerable. The Pinellas County is most resilient to coronavirus effects in Tampa Bay, and Pasco and Hillsborough counties are the next resilient.
Tampa Real Estate Market Forecast 2020 – 2021
What are the Tampa real estate market predictions for 2020? Let us look at the price trends recorded by Zillow over the past few years. Tampa has a record of being one of the best long term real estate investments in the U.S. Since 2012, the median home prices in Tampa have appreciated by roughly 124% from $112,000 to $251,387, according to Zillow’s data.
The Zillow Buyer-Seller Index (BSI) considers Tampa a seller's real estate market. This is computed monthly. According to their index, there exists a limited supply of homes in Tampa, and buyers are forced to compete often resulting in higher prices and/or quicker sales that tend to benefit sellers. In other words, based on the last month’s key housing market indicators, the demand is exceeding the supply, giving sellers an advantage over buyers in price negotiations. There are fewer homes for sale than there are active buyers in the marketplace.
Tampa’s home values have appreciated by 5.3% over the past year. The latest Tampa real estate market forecast is that the home prices may remain flat or decrease by 1.2% – in the next twelve months. This could be due to the short term impact of the ongoing pandemic which has impeded the real estate sales activity in the entire nation. Also, in a balanced real estate market, it would take about six months for the supply to dwindle to zero. In terms of months of supply, the Tampa market can tip to favor buyers if the supply increases to more than six months of inventory. And that's not going to happen soon. In the long term, the Tampa real estate market remains strong to favor sellers, due to persistent imbalance in supply and demand.
Here is the visual representation of historical Tampa home prices and the latest forecast until March 2021.
Here is a short and crisp Tampa housing market forecast for the 3 years ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2021. The accuracy of this forecast for Tampa is 84% and it is predicting a positive trend. LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability of rising home prices in Tampa is 84% during this period. If this price forecast is correct, the Tampa home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 3rd Quarter of 2018.
Tampa Real Estate Market: Tampa, FL Homes For Sale
The Tampa housing market has a mixture of owner-occupied and renter-occupied houses. According to Neighborhoodscout.com, a real estate data provider, one and two-bedroom single-family detached homes the most common housing units in Tampa. Other types of housing that are prevalent in Tampa include large apartment complexes, duplexes, rowhouses, and homes converted to apartments.
Single-family homes account for about 50% of Tampa's housing units. At the national level, the single-family rental homes have grown up to 30% within the last three years. Almost all the housing demand in the US in recent years has been filled by single-family rental units. With 2020 being, theoretically, in the middle of a boom, there are still 4 years for residential construction to surge. Most likely, a housing shortage will remain in 2020, keeping home prices high.
Currently, there are 40 homes for sale in Tampa on Zillow.com, an online real estate database company. Additionally, there are 0 homes for rent. Under potential listings, there are about 0Foreclosed and 7 Pre-Foreclosure homes. These are the delinquent properties that may be coming to the market soon but are not yet found on a multiple listing service (MLS).
- The median list price per square foot in Tampa is $199, which is higher than the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater Metro average of $148.
- The median price of homes for sale is $314,900.
- The median price of homes that were sold in March is $271,700.
- The median rent price in $1,600, which is higher than the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater Metro median of $1,585.
There are currently 4595 homes for sale and 1417 homes for rent in Tampa, FL on Realtor.com, a real estate listings website. According to their data, in April 2020, Tampa was a seller's real estate market, which means there were roughly more buyers than there were active homes for sale. The demand for housing outpaced the supply.
In April 2020, the median list price of homes in Tampa, FL was $285K, trending up 3.6% year-over-year. The median listing price per square foot was $169. The median sale price was $265.5K. Ideally, a buyer would prefer a sale to asking price ratio that’s closer to 90%. The sellers in Tampa have managed to hold good leverage in these negotiations in the past month. On average, they could sell homes for 98.87% of the asking price. A seller would always prefer scenarios that can yield a ratio of 100% or higher.
Tampa Real Estate Market: Foreclosure Statistics In 2020
Here are some foreclosure statistics of the Tampa real estate market. As per the Tampa foreclosure data by Zillow, the percent of delinquent mortgages in Tampa is 1.3%, which is higher than the national value of 1.1%. The percent of Tampa homeowners underwater on their mortgage is 7.5%, which is higher than Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater Metro at 5.9%. As prices rise, potential sellers raise their estimations of home values.
In the most recent cycle, rising prices in Tampa metro have freed up many potential sellers who were previously underwater on their mortgages. In April, the median sale price of a Foreclosure/REO property in Tampa metro was $200,250, up 11.7% as compared to last year. The median price of a short sale was $207,650, up 0.8% as compared to last year.
There are currently 1,121 properties in Tampa, FL that are in some stage of foreclosure (default, auction or bank-owned) while the number of homes listed for sale on RealtyTrac is 1,417. In April, the number of properties that received a foreclosure filing in Tampa, FL was 31% higher than the previous month and 16% lower than the same time last year.
|Potential Foreclosures in Tampa||1121 (RealtyTrac)|
|Homes for Sale in Tampa||1417|
|Median List Price||$280,000 (4% rise vs Mar 2019)|
In Tampa, the zip code with the highest foreclosure rate is 33603, where 1 in every 940 housing units is foreclosed. 33625 zip code has the lowest foreclosure rate, where 1 in every 1057 housing units become delinquent.
Here is the graph showing FORECLOSURE RATES FOR TAMPA, FL.
Tampa Real Estate Market: Is It A Good Place For Investment?
Now that you know where Tampa is, you probably want to know why we’re recommending it to real estate investors. Investing in real estate is touted as a great way to become wealthy. Should you consider Tampa real estate investment? Many real estate investors have asked themselves if buying a property in Tampa is a good investment? You need to drill deeper into local trends if you want to know what the market holds for the real estate investors and buyers in 2020.
If you are looking to make a profit, you don’t want to buy the most expensive property on the Tampa real estate market and expect to make a good profit on rents. Perhaps you are looking for a slightly different hold-over, an investment property in Tampa that you might move into or sell at retirement in the future. Either way, knowing your profit potential and purpose is the first thing to consider.
Let’s take a look at the number of positive things going on in the Tampa real estate market which can help investors who are keen to buy an investment property in this city.
1. Tampa Is Fast Growing Metro Area
Tampa, Florida is one of the fastest-growing metropolitan areas of the country with a busy downtown area, range of eateries, and tourist attractions. Investors who choose this market will experience high growth in their investments as it is currently one of the hottest grounds for residential and commercial properties. It also offers a great overall quality of life making it a popular residential for many family units.
2. Increasing Tampa Home Prices
The prices of residential properties in Tampa are growing at a fast pace, though they are still affordable compared to other real estate markets in the country. This is the time for investors to get hold of properties and keep them for some time before selling them at a higher price since the Tampa real estate market is predicted to flourish during 2020.
3. Increasing Tampa Rental Prices
Investors can buy properties at lower rates right now and rent them out to new residents of the city to improve their cash flows. Later on, when the selling price of housing property increases then they can sell out to better prospects. This means that the Tampa real estate market is promising for short term leases at this point, including rental homes and tourist accommodations. If you only have 10% to put down, a single-family home would be a better option for buying an investment property. It just makes sense when you consider it will be easier to get a loan, and there are no restrictions on rentals.
4. Tampa's Job Growth
Job growth in an area is a sure way of boosting its real estate market for both residential and commercial properties. Tampa's real estate market has also experienced similar growth in requirements of single and family homes since more people are moving to this flourishing metropolitan area for jobs. The influx of people into Tampa is especially occasioned by the fact that it one of the fastest-growing job hubs in the country.
5. Improved Quality of Life in Tampa
Tampa is one of the fastest-growing metropolitans in the US, which suggests that the general quality of life is higher than other comparable cities and towns. It is not only a growing real estate market, but it is also one of the most popular recreational hubs of the city. People choose to reside here because of the great prospects of life that it offers, and this directly impacts the Tampa real estate market.
6. Tampa's Booming Economy
Tampa has the headquarters of four Fortune 500 companies which makes it a moderately attractive city for work and economic growth. In addition to this, many entrepreneurs and small businesses are also making way to Tampa for the search for better prospects and lesser expenses for running their start-ups. Acquiring residential spaces is one of the earliest priorities for such professionals when they move here. Tampa has a very diverse economy with financial services, STEM, health care, research, education, tourism, beaches, and military bases all making significant contributions to jobs and growth.
7. Tampa Bay's Tourist Attraction
There are several nature parks, landmarks, museums, and eateries for tourists to visit in Tampa. Tourist influx also means an increase in short term residential contracts, which is a selling point of the Tampa real estate market in 2020. Main tourist attractions include Big Cat Rescue, Busch Gardens Florida, Eureka Springs Park, and Tampa-Bay History Center among many others. Growing tourism has a tremendously positive effect on the real estate in Tampa FL.
8. Cost of Living in Tampa
Since there is prospective growth in the Tampa real estate market, people from all over the country are considering a move here. One of the most important reasons is the affordable cost of living in Tampa compared to other cities. This has made it a top choice for retirees and small families that are looking for residence and to generally improve the quality of their life.
- Tampa, Florida's cost of living is 5% lower than the national average
- Tampa's housing expenses are 23% lower than the national average and the utility prices are 16% higher than the national average.
- Transportation expenses like bus fares and gas prices are 6% higher than the national average.
- Healthcare in Tampa is 2% lower than the national average.
9. Tampa's Comfortable Weather
The vibrant living environment of the city owes a great deal to its comfortable temperature. The average temperature is 99 F which is extremely moderate and allows better productivity for human lives. The weather conditions are also an important factor when it comes to motivating people to move here.
10. Government Facilities
The healthcare, education, and transportation facilities in Tampa are also impeccable which is why families with young children and many retirees prefer Tampa and are choosing to reside in Tampa since it offers them an upgraded quality of life. Not only that, but Tampa also hosts several entertainment activities for people of all age groups depending upon their tastes.
Maybe you have done a bit of real estate investing in Tampa but want to take things further and make it into more than a hobby on the side. It’s only wise to think about how you can and should be investing your money. In any property investment, cash flow is gold. Compared to markets in Atlanta, Nashville, and Cleveland, Tampa has higher prospects when it comes to residential and commercial property investments. The Tampa real estate market has been projected to grow steadily during 2020. Investors are recommended to buy Tampa investment properties now and hold on to them until good price appreciation for maximum return on investment.
The Tampa housing market has been seeing constant development for the last two years, a trend that does not seem to be stopping any time soon. Realtor.com had rated the top 100 markets according to factors including employment growth, household growth, and unemployment. In all categories, the Tampa real estate market fares considerably better than the national average. The one category in which Tampa FL real estate market especially shines is new-home starts, predicted to soar by more than 20 percent next year. That would ease one of the biggest constraints on the local real estate market – a shortage of homes for sale.
The biggest demand will continue to be for “moderately priced homes” — those under $300,000 in most places but the $500,000 to $800,000 range inexpensive South Tampa. Good cash flow from Tampa investment properties means the investment is, needless to say, profitable. A bad cash flow, on the other hand, means you won’t have money on hand to repay your debt. Therefore, finding a good Tampa real estate investment opportunity would be key to your success. If you invest wisely in the Tampa real estate, you could secure your future.
The three most important factors when buying a real estate anywhere are location, location, and location. The location creates desirability. Desirability brings demand. There should be a natural and upcoming high demand for rental properties. Demand would raise the price of your Tampa investment real estate and you should be able to flip it for a lump sum profit.
The neighborhoods in Tampa must be safe to live in and should have a low crime rate. The neighborhoods should be close to basic amenities, public services, schools, and shopping malls. Some of the best neighborhoods in Tampa, Florida are Old Seminole Heights, Sun Bay South, Tampa Palms, Spring Hill, Tampa Heights, Oldsmar, Grand Hampton, Davis Islands, Palma Ceia, Ybor City Historic District, Parrish, South Tampa, Hyde Park, Tampa Palms, Westchase, Temple Terrace, Riverside Heights, and New Tampa.
Home prices in Tampa are affordable but well above the national average for all cities and towns in the United States. The asking price of single-family homes in Tampa can start from $20,000 and can go up to $10.9M for a luxury property located in the Beach Park neighborhood. Beach Park is the most expensive neighborhood in Tampa for homebuyers who can afford to buy a home in the median price range of $1.25M. East Tampa is the most affordable neighborhood, with a median listing price of $170,500.
As with any real estate purchase, act wisely. Evaluate the specifics of the Tampa housing market at the time you intend to purchase. Hiring a local property management company can help in finding tenants for your investment property in Tampa. If it is your first time to invest in Tampa real estate, then you would have to be aware of common beginner’s mistakes. Beginners would usually follow the media, buy a property, and wait for its value to increase. This could be risky. Real estate investing requires research. We recommend doing your research or hiring a real estate investment specialist for guidance.
NORADA REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS has extensive experience investing in turnkey real estate and cash-flow properties. We strive to set the standard for our industry and inspire others by raising the bar on providing exceptional real estate investment opportunities in many other growth markets in the United States. We can help you succeed by minimizing risk and maximizing the profitability of your investment property in Tampa, Florida.
Consult with one of the investment counselors who can help build you a custom portfolio of Tampa turnkey properties. These are “Cash-Flow Rental Properties” located in some of the best neighborhoods of Tampa.
Not just limited to Tampa or Florida but you can also invest in some of the best real estate markets in the United States. All you have to do is fill up this form and schedule a consultation at your convenience. We’re standing by to help you take the guesswork out of real estate investing. By researching and structuring complete Tampa turnkey real estate investments, we help you succeed by minimizing risk and maximizing profitability.
Buying or selling real estate, for a majority of investors, is one of the most important decisions they will make. Choosing a real estate professional/counselor continues to be a vital part of this process. They are well-informed about critical factors that affect your specific market areas, such as changes in market conditions, market forecasts, consumer attitudes, best locations, timing, and interest rates.
Is It The Right Time To Invest In Real Estate? – The national homeownership rate is on the decline for the first time since 2017. As demographics change and baby boomers retire, you’re seeing Millennials who may not be ready to buy houses. In 2018, Millennials made up about 22 percent of the population in the United States. They’re choosing to rent over buying a single-family home or an apartment. Rising home prices and shortage of starter homes have not left Millennials many choices but to delay homeownership. Moreover, it's even harder to take out a mortgage for those who have student loan debt.
Tampa | Florida Real Estate Investment Opportunities
Apart from the Tampa real estate market, you can also invest in another hot market in Ocala, Florida. Ocala is an affordable real estate market for investors who can still reap a decent return on investment. The area has recovered from the Great Recession, and several factors will insulate it from a future downturn. The Ocala housing market is buoyed by several nearly recession-proof industries. It is quite affordable for investors compared to the rest of Florida markets like Tampa where the median home value is $221,500. The median home price in Ocala is $163,179. You can buy several homes in the Ocala FL real estate market for the price you would of one mid-market condo in Miami.
Also, given that this is Florida, it shouldn’t be surprising that retirees are a disproportionately large source of demand for Ocala rental houses. A large number of retirees here creates significant demand for medical professionals and caregivers. The horse-centered community offers several good-paying jobs to trainers, veterinarians, and animal caregivers. There are several manufacturers in the area such as mobile home manufacturers and an EMS vehicle maker.
Another market that we suggest is the housing market in Lakeland, Florida. The Lakeland FL real estate market presents the perfect balance of currently affordable real estate for buyers and future growth. We can expect the population of the area to grow rapidly, and the renting population will grow even faster. The time to buy real estate in Lakeland is now. While the Lakeland FL real estate market is cheaper than Orlando and Tampa, it is not a good overall value given the lower average wages of its residents.
That explains why U.S. News and World Report gave the city an index score of 5.5 out of ten. This is due to the average resident earning around $23,000 a year, several thousand less than the U.S. average. Median household incomes are no better. The median household income in Lakeland, Florida is around $40,000, more than ten thousand dollars below the national average. This creates a strong demand for Lakeland rental homes, especially those that low-income residents can afford.
Let us know which real estate markets in the United States you consider best for real estate investing!
Remember, caveat emptor still applies when buying a property anywhere. Some of the information contained in this article was pulled from third party sites mentioned under references. Although the information is believed to be reliable, Norada Real Estate Investments makes no representations, warranties, or guarantees, either express or implied, as to whether the information presented is accurate, reliable, or current. All information presented should be independently verified through the references given below. As a general policy, the Norada Real Estate Investments makes no claims or assertions about the future housing market conditions across the US.
Latest Market Data, Trends, and Statistics
10 Reasons to live in Tampa
Top Rental Property Markets